Royal Navy in crisis as Express reveals just how unprepared UK is for WW3
Reach Daily Express June 10, 2025 03:39 AM

Once powerful enough to forge an empire from its masts, the Royal Navy today is a far leaner force. Though diminished in scale, the Senior Service remains a globally deployable blue-water navy with cutting-edge capabilities and 32,000 personnel driven by professionalism and purpose. While will join the fleet in the next decade, and 12 new hunter-killer submarines have been promised, its main vulnerability today is no secret: size.

A Modern Navy in a Dangerous World

The official surface fleet includes 53 vessels, plus 13 Royal Fleet Auxiliary (RFA) ships. But fewer than half are operational at any one time, meaning the UK can field just 12 major warships to protect its global interests. from China, Russia, Iran and North Korea - the so-called CRINK nations - every hull counts.

The state of the UK's underwater fleet is equally mixed. Britain's nuclear deterrent relies on four Vanguard-class submarines operating under the Continuous At-Sea Deterrence (CASD) policy. One is always deployed, while another remains on standby.

But a worsening recruitment crisis is hitting the Silent Service hard, forcing submariners to deploy on increasingly long tours. HMS Vanguard returned to the Clyde in March after a record-breaking 204 days underwater - a gruelling stretch that is only exacerbating the retention problem.

Of the six Astute-class hunter-killer boats, only HMS Astute and HMS Anson are currently active. Yet the fleet is vital for protecting undersea cables, escorting the nuclear deterrent, and tracking hostile submarines.

Confirmation under the SDR that the hunter-killer fleet is to eventually be expanded to 12 is welcome but, even if funding is secured, crewing them will be another matter.

Britain's security, trade, and energy depend on maritime routes. The Royal Navy must defend these interests from the Euro-Atlantic to the Indo-Pacific, facing rising demand amid a volatile world.

In Europe, the Navy deters Russian aggression in the Arctic, North Atlantic and Black Sea. In the Middle East, it counters Iranian activity and supports operations near Yemen and Gaza. In Asia, China's ambitions in the South China Sea threaten global shipping.

These overlapping threats will keep the Royal Navy focused on the northern hemisphere and deepen cooperation with allies.

Strike group deployments like HMS Prince of Wales' current Indo-Pacific tour, Operation Highmast, will become more frequent. But with fleet numbers tight, Britain may need to rely more on initiatives like drones and the UK-led Joint Expeditionary Force - a non-NATO alliance of Northern European navies.

A Recruitment Crisis at Sea

Despite a strong core of personnel, recruitment remains a crisis. The Royal Navy missed 40% of its intake target last year, with just 2,450 new sailors. Skilled engineers are particularly hard to retain, forcing the Government to offer £30,000 retention bonuses.

Processes are part of the problem. The average wait between applying and starting training is 279 days. The MoD has responded with a 60% boost to the recruitment budget and scrapped legacy rules, allowing more applicants - including cancer survivors and those with eczema - to join. But retention still lags. A new £1.5bn contract with Serco aims to reverse the trend across the military in 2027, though its impact remains to be seen.

The Royal Marines

The Royal Marines now number 5,737 personnel, down from 7,219 in 2012, and are undergoing a radical transformation under the Future Commando Force (FCF) programme. This marks a deliberate shift away from traditional frontline infantry roles. Under the FCF reforms the 360-year-old corps is evolving into a leaner, more specialised force focused almost entirely on high-end Special Forces tasks.

Small strike teams of four to five Commandos will carry out covert raids, reconnaissance, and strategic disruption, often embedded with partner forces in hostile environments. The transformation has strong backing from General Sir Gwyn Jenkins, who earlier this month became the first Royal Marine ever appointed First Sea Lord and Chief of the Naval Staff - a landmark moment for the Corps and its new direction.

Other Navies

The Royal Navy remains closely aligned with the US Navy, its strongest partner. Joint operations are frequent, but Washington has expressed concern at the UK's inability to relieve US assets in the Red Sea. The Navy's shrinking numbers are limiting its strategic value to the US.

By contrast, France fields a larger, more available fleet. With over 70 ships and 44,000 personnel, its navy operates a dual-crewing model to maximise vessel availability. Its high-intensity Polaris wargames have reshaped NATO training doctrine. A new Lancaster House accord will deepen UK-French maritime cooperation.

Ballistic Submarines (V-boats):

Four Vanguard-class submarines maintain Britain's nuclear deterrent under the continuous at-sea deterrence (CASD) policy. One is always at sea; another is held at readiness. Recruitment shortfalls meant that HMS Vanguard returned to the Clyde in March after a record 204 days underwater.

Carriers:

HMS Queen Elizabeth and HMS Prince of Wales are 65,000-tonne supercarriers. Each can launch 72 strike sorties daily and carry up to 36 F-35Bs - though the UK only has 30 operational jets. Mechanical failures have hindered deployments. The carriers now make up nearly 60% of the Royal Navy's surface tonnage.

Destroyers:

Six Type 45 air-defence destroyers were built; only three are fully deployable. The class has faced serious propulsion problems, especially in warm waters. Upgrades are ongoing.

Frigates:

Of the 12 Type 23 frigates, only five are available today. These ageing multi-role ships will be replaced by five lighter Type 31 frigates (focused on maritime security) and eight Type 26s (advanced anti-submarine warfare) by the 2030s.

Attack Submarines:

Of six Astute-class hunter-killers, only HMS Astute and HMS Anson are active. The fleet is critical for undersea cable protection, deterrent escort, and hostile submarine tracking.

The SDR confirmed the consruction of another 12 hunter-killer boats. But even if the funding is secured, production won't begin until the next decade, after the last Dreadnaought is built.

Patrol Vessels:

Eight River-class offshore patrol vessels fill gaps and offer forward presence. HMS Tamar and HMS Spey are in the Indo-Pacific; others patrol UK waters, the Caribbean, and Gibraltar.

Fleet Air Arm:

The Navy operates 35 F-35Bs (jointly with the RAF), 55 Merlin helicopters for sub-hunting, 28 Wildcats for surface warfare, and experimental drones. About 5,000 personnel support air operations.

Minehunters:

Only five Hunt-class and one Sandown-class vessel remain active. Iran's mining threat in the Gulf has underscored their value. Autonomous replacements are in development.

Royal Fleet Auxiliary:

Only five of 11 support ships are active. These deliver fuel, ammunition, and humanitarian supplies. RFA Proteus and Stirling Castle will support future autonomous systems.

Future Technology & Investment:

The DragonFire laser will be fitted to four ships by 2027, offering high-precision, low-cost defence against drones and missiles. Unlike traditional weapons, lasers do not run out.

New Dreadnought submarines - to replace the Vanguards - Type 83 destroyers, and autonomous mine warfare systems all signal an important decade of modernisation. The challenge is ensuring these capabilities are not just announced, but properly crewed, sustained and deployed.

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