I frequently quote that we are physical beings run by our emotions: the way we feel affects our actions. That’s certainly true when it comes to investing, as historical data shows only too well.
For the 20 years up to July 2025, the MSCI World Index, which tracks large and mid-size companies across 23 developed countries, averaged 10% a year.
You could simply leave your money to follow the combined ups and downs of those companies and it would double in value every seven years or so. It’s been fairly consistent over the years; in the last five years it’s averaged 14%pa, the last ten years have averaged 12% pa, and since 1970 it’s averaged 10% pa.
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But this isn’t what most investors achieved. Over the last 20 years, the average equity fund investor, however returned only around 5% per year.
Why? Behaviour. How we behave when investing is often illogical, based on emotion, not facts. Let’s highlight that with a couple of examples of typical money-losing moves that average investors make.
Study after study shows that when the stock market goes up, investors put more money into it. And when it goes down, they pull money out.
This is like going to the shops every time the price of something goes up, and then returning your purchases when there’s a sale on, at a store that only gives you the sale price back.
We are human, so we overreact to good news and get greedy, and we do the same with bad news and get fearful. Logic can easily go out of the window.
This tendency to overreact can become even greater during times of personal uncertainty, such as when we near retirement or when the economy is slumping.
Analysing effectsThere’s an entire field of study that researches our tendency to make illogical financial decisions, called behavioural finance. It labels our money-losing mind tricks with terms like ‘recency bias’ and ‘overconfidence’.
One study analysed trades from 10,000 clients at a brokerage firm, aiming to ascertain if frequent trading led to higher returns. The results? The stocks purchased underperformed the stocks sold by 5% over one year, and 8.6% over two years. In other words: the more active the investor, the less money they made.
This study was repeated numerous times in multiple markets and the results were always the same. The authors concluded that traders are “basically paying fees to lose money”.
Overconfidence causes investors to exaggerate their ability to predict future events. They are quick to use past data, and to think they have above-average abilities that enable them to predict market movements into the future. Almost invariably, they are wrong.
One of the best things you can do to protect yourself from your own natural tendency to make emotional decisions is to seek professional guidance and hire a Certified Financial Planner. A CFP can serve as an intermediary between you and your emotions... and that can make a serious difference to your returns.
5 things you need to know about investing If you are going to manage your own investments, you'll need a way to keep your emotions out of the buy/sell process. Consider using the tips below to make smarter decisions.