Asia Cup 2025: Bangladesh-Sri Lanka-Afghanistan expected only 1 match, Group B-Super 4 equation is complicated
Sandy Verma September 17, 2025 03:24 PM

Asia cup 2025 group b super 4 equation: The group stage of Asia Cup 2025 has now entered the decisive phase, where only a few matches are left and the picture of Super-4 will be clear from them. India has qualified with Group A, while the match between Pakistan and UAE will decide who will be another team from this group. The picture of Super-4 from Group B is entangled. Hong Kong has already been out after suffering three defeats. At the same time, there is a tough war between Bangladesh, Sri Lanka and Afghanistan for two qualification places. On Tuesday, Bangladesh has kept their expectations alive by registering a significant victory over Afghanistan in Abu Dhabi and confused the Super 4 equation of Group B.

In fact, by defeating Afghanistan, Bangladesh now reached the points table equal to Sri Lanka. Sri Lanka topped two matches with four points so far. Bangladesh has also scored four points but all its matches have been completed. Afghanistan has two points and one of its matches remains from Sri Lanka. This match has now become a virtual knockout. If Sri Lanka wins, he will go to Super-4 with Bangladesh. But if Afghanistan defeats the current champion, then the three teams will have four points each. In such a situation, the decision will be from the net run rate (NRR).

Asia Cup 2025 Group B points table

Team Match Victory Garland Points Net run rate
Sri Lanka 2 2 0 4 +1.546
Bangladesh 3 2 1 4 -0.270
Afghanistan 2 1 1 2 +2.150
Hong Kong (outside) 3 0 3 0 -2.151

Group B’s entangled equation: 1 match-two teams decide with winning-1 win-defeat

Group B is in the position where Bangladesh is the biggest threat. Their net run rate is -0.270, while Afghanistan’s +2.150 and Sri Lanka’s +1.546. In such a situation, if Afghanistan wins, then it is almost certain that Bangladesh will be out, even if it has four points.

Afghanistan’s victory will make him directly to Super-4, while who will go ahead of Sri Lanka and Bangladesh, this net run rate will decide.

If Sri Lanka defeats Afghanistan, then Sri Lanka and Bangladesh teams will reach Super-4.

If Afghanistan wins, the matter will depend on the net run rate (NRR), because in that case the three teams will get 4-4 points.

At present, Sri Lanka has an edge in this matter, but if she has to face a big defeat, then the equation can change. Mathematics says that even if Sri Lanka loses, she will still have a chance to make a place in Super-4. The condition for this will be that the team should not lose by more than 70 runs while chasing and if you bat first, then Afghanistan should not achieve the target with more than 50 balls remaining.

Asia Cup 2025 Group-A status

India has already made it to Super-4 in Group-A. He defeated UAE within just 18 overs and then defeated Pakistan by seven wickets. Oman is out after two consecutive defeats. Now on September 17, Pakistan vs UAE match will compete directly “do or die”.

If Pakistan wins, it will go to Super-4 with India. But if the UAE reverses, it will qualify. If the match is tie or bentija, you have to resort to net run rate, where Pakistan is currently ahead of UAE.

Asia Cup 2025 Group A Points Table

Team Match Victory Garland Points Net run rate
India (qualification) 2 2 0 4 +4.793
Pakistan 2 1 1 2 +1.649
United Arab Emirates 2 1 1 2 -2.030
Oman (outside) 2 0 2 0 -3.375
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