News Desk. The latest survey reports on the political situation in Tamil Nadu, Assam and West Bengal ahead of the upcoming assembly elections in 2026 have created a stir among the public and political circles. According to various opinion polls, the position of the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) varies across the three states and its strength depends on state-specific circumstances.

1. Assam: Strong performance of BJP

The position of BJP and its ally National Democratic Alliance (NDA) appears to be very strong in Assam. According to many surveys, the alliance can win for the third consecutive time due to the popularity and organizational strength of Himanta Biswa Sarma. According to MATRIZE-IANS survey, BJP+ may get 96-98 seats out of 126 assembly seats. The vote share is estimated to be around 43-44%, indicating the party’s strong hold in Assam.

2. West Bengal: Direct contest between TMC and BJP

The BJP’s challenge in West Bengal is mainly against Mamata Banerjee’s Trinamool Congress (TMC). According to the recent survey, TMC can win 184-194 seats, while BJP is in a position to get 98-108 seats. Especially in North Bengal and tribal areas, BJP’s hold remains strong. This is a significant increase in BJP’s seats compared to 2021, increasing its presence in the state.

3. Tamil Nadu: BJP dependent on alliance

In Tamil Nadu, the BJP is not contesting the elections alone but as part of the AIADMK-led NDA alliance. According to the VoteVibe survey, the alliance is expected to get 106-116 seats, while the ruling DMK+ may capture 113-123 seats. BJP has been allotted a total of 27 seats to contest in this alliance, due to which it can play a decisive role in the state.