The earliest possible date: After Manchester City's 3-0 win over Crystal Palace, the earliest date Arsenal can win the league is Tuesday 19th May. If Arsenal beat Burnley on Monday, they move to 82 points. If City then draw or lose to Bournemouth on Tuesday, their maximum possible total drops to 81 or 80, confirming Arsenal as champions with a game to spare.

City cannot slip up: Because Arsenal currently hold a two-point lead (79 points vs 77), City effectively have no room for error. They need to win both of their final two games and hope Burnley or Palace trip Arsenal up.

Final day drama: If Arsenal draw against Burnley or Palace, and City win both of their final two matches, the title could be decided on goal difference or even goals scored. The two teams currently have the exact same goal difference: +42.

Arsenal eyeing history: Arsenal last won the league in 2003/04. Managed by Arsene Wenger, the Invincibles went the entire 38-game campaign unbeaten. Since then, they have finished as runners-up several times, including three consecutive second-place finishes between 2023 and 2025.

City eye another treble: City can still secure a domestic treble this month. They are still going in the title race and have already won the Carabao Cup. They face Chelsea in the FA Cup final this Saturday.