South Africa and Bangladesh are also in the race for the semi-finals. If either team finishes with more points than India or ends up with the same number of points but a better Net Run Rate, India could be knocked out of the tournament.

The India Women Vs Australia Women match on Sunday, June 28 in the ICC Women's T20 World Cup 2026 could decide India's fate in the tournament. While a win will send India directly to the semi-finals, a defeat could leave Harmanpreet Kaur's team depending on other results and Net Run Rate (NRR).

The crucial Group A match will be played on June 28 at Lord's Cricket Ground in London with a place in the last four at stake.

Can India Still Qualify If They Lose To Australia?

Yes, but it will not be straightforward. If India lose to Australia, they will remain on four points from four matches. Their qualification will then depend on how the remaining Group A matches finish.