The problem of waiting ticket is common for passengers traveling by train. During train ticket booking, when a confirmed seat is not available and the name appears on the waiting list, the biggest question in people's minds is whether the ticket will be confirmed or not. This problem is even more common during festivals or on busy routes, where the waiting list crosses 500. If this happens, the chances of the ticket getting confirmed are almost negligible. But it is not easy to guess how many waiting list tickets can be confirmed.

However, today we will tell you a formula by which it can be estimated up to how many waiting list tickets can be confirmed. So let's know...

What is the chance of waiting tickets getting confirmed?

Usually, many online platforms estimate the probability of ticket confirmation (IRCTC Ticket Confirmation), but they are not always accurate. That is why the Indian Railways has released some data, from which the probability of waiting tickets getting confirmed can be ascertained.
According to the Railways, on average 21% of passengers cancel the ticket after booking it. Apart from this, there are about 4-5% of passengers who do not travel on the train despite booking the ticket. Due to these two reasons, many seats become vacant, which can be given to the passengers on the waiting list.
Apart from this, the Railways also have an emergency quota, which is used in special situations. If this quota is not fully utilized, then these seats can also be given to the passengers on the waiting list.
How many seats can be confirmed in a coach?
If there are a total of 72 seats in a sleeper coach and on average 21% of the passengers cancel the ticket, then about 15 seats can be vacant. Apart from this, if 4-5% of passengers do not travel, then 3-4 more seats can be vacant. In this way, about 18 seats in a sleeper coach can be given to passengers on the waiting list.

How many seats can be confirmed from the waiting list on the entire train?

If a train has 10 sleeper coaches, then about 180 seats (10 coaches × 18 seats/coach) in all these coaches combined can be given to those on the waiting list. Similarly, some seats in third AC, second AC, and first AC coaches can also be confirmed based on this formula.

What are the reasons for reducing the chances of confirmation of waiting tickets?

During festivals and holidays, the number of passengers cancelling tickets decreases, which reduces the chances of seats being vacant for waiting list passengers. At the same time, this problem increases further on busy routes, because the number of passengers here is high and the number of people cancelling tickets is low.

Apart from this, the chances of waiting tickets getting confirmed in sleeper coaches are higher than in AC coaches, because the number of seats in them is higher and the rate of ticket cancellation is also high.

How to increase the chances of waiting tickets getting confirmed?

If your travel date is already fixed, then book the ticket as soon as possible.

The sooner the ticket is booked, the lesser the chances of waiting list.

If possible, try to travel on less busy routes.

If your travel dates are flexible, then you can try booking tickets on different dates.

Keep checking your waiting list status regularly from the official website or mobile app of the railways.

Disclaimer: This content has been sourced and edited from NDTV India. While we have made modifications for clarity and presentation, the original content belongs to its respective authors and website. We do not claim ownership of the content.