The Premier League concludes its 2024-25 season with a thrilling encounter as Manchester United host Aston Villa at Old Trafford on Sunday, May 25, 2025. This final-round match carries significant weight, with Aston Villa chasing Champions League qualification and Manchester United aiming to end a disappointing campaign on a high note.

Team Form and Context

Aston Villa

Aston Villa, under Unai Emery, have been a revelation this season, sitting sixth in the Premier League with 66 points. Their recent 2-0 victory over Tottenham showcased their defensive solidity and attacking flair, extending their unbeaten home streak to 20 matches across all competitions. Villa’s three consecutive Premier League wins, all with clean sheets, highlight their momentum heading into this crucial fixture. A win at Old Trafford is vital for Villa to secure a top-five finish and Champions League qualification, though their fate may also depend on other results.

Manchester United

Manchester United, managed by Ruben Amorim, are languishing in 16th place with 39 points, marking their worst Premier League campaign since 1974. A 1-0 loss to Tottenham in the Europa League final on Wednesday confirmed they will miss European football next season, a rare occurrence in their history. United are winless in their last eight league games, losing six, and their defensive frailties have been exposed, conceding eight goals on an expected goals against (xGA) of 11.04 this season.

Predicted Lineups

Manchester United (3-4-2-1)

• Goalkeeper: André Onana

• Defenders: Leny Yoro, Harry Maguire, Victor Lindelöf

• Midfielders: Amad Diallo, Kobbie Mainoo, Manuel Ugarte, Patrick Dorgu

• Attacking Midfielders: Bruno Fernandes, Mason Mount

• Striker: Rasmus Højlund

Aston Villa (4-2-3-1)

• Goalkeeper: Emiliano Martínez

• Defenders: Matty Cash, Ezri Konsa, Tyrone Mings, Lucas Digne

• Midfielders: Boubacar Kamara, Amadou Onana

• Attacking Midfielders: Morgan Rogers, Marco Asensio, John McGinn

• Striker: Ollie Watkins

Prediction: Who Will Win?

Aston Villa enter as favorites, with a 45.1% win probability compared to Manchester United’s 31.2%, according to Stats Insider’s 10,000 simulations. Villa’s superior form, cohesive tactics under Emery, and desperation for Champions League qualification give them the edge. United’s home advantage and historical dominance are notable, but their lack of confidence and defensive issues make an upset less likely.

Score Prediction: Manchester United 1-3 Aston Villa.